Abstract

Bhatia, N., and G. S. Cumming. 2020. Deforestation and economic growth trends on oceanic islands highlight the need for meso-scale analysis and improved mid-range theory in conservation. Ecology and Society 25(3):10. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-11713-250310

Highlights

  • Forests support many species and provide a wide range of economically and culturally valuable goods and services

  • Data were derived from multisensor time series of Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) 7-day composite images, Medium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MERIS) full-resolution 7-day composites, and Project for On-board Autonomy-Végétation (PROBA-V) 7-day composites

  • We focused on five variables that have been strongly implicated as relevant to development trajectories by Cumming and von Cramon-Taubadel (2018): population growth, gross domestic product (GDP) (GDP per capita [constant local currency unit]), forest rents, the Human Development Index (HDI), and the value added by agriculture (%GDP)

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Summary

Introduction

Forests support many species and provide a wide range of economically and culturally valuable goods and services. Their role in carbon sequestration and storage, for instance, is globally significant (Molotoks et al 2018). Curtis et al (2018) attributed 27% of permanent global forest loss to commodity production, with additional losses primarily due to forestry (26%), shifting agriculture (24%), and wildfire (23%) Their analysis suggests a clear divide between developed and developing nations (“the global south”), with most commodity-driven deforestation and shifting agriculture occurring in developing nations in Latin America and Asia. The importance of habitat configuration for deforestation has been widely explored in individual cases at finer spatial scales (e.g., Laurance et al 2002, Perz et al 2008, Lorena and Lambin 2009, Cumming et al 2012), but is poorly connected to the understanding of global trends

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