Abstract
BackgroundEpisodes of Emergency Department (ED) service use among older adults previously have not been constructed, or evaluated as multi-dimensional phenomena. In this study, we constructed episodes of ED service use among a cohort of older adults over a 15-year observation period, measured the episodes by severity and intensity, and compared these measures in predicting subsequent hospitalization.MethodsWe conducted a secondary analysis of the prospective cohort study entitled the Survey on Assets and Health Dynamics among the Oldest Old (AHEAD). Baseline (1993) data on 5,511 self-respondents ≥70 years old were linked to their Medicare claims for 1991-2005. Claims then were organized into episodes of ED care according to Medicare guidelines. The severity of ED episodes was measured with a modified-NYU algorithm using ICD9-CM diagnoses, and the intensity of the episodes was measured using CPT codes. Measures were evaluated against subsequent hospitalization to estimate comparative predictive validity.ResultsOver 15 years, three-fourths (4,171) of the 5,511 AHEAD participants had at least 1 ED episode, with a mean of 4.5 episodes. Cross-classification indicated the modified-NYU severity measure and the CPT-based intensity measure captured different aspects of ED episodes (kappa = 0.18). While both measures were significant independent predictors of hospital admission from ED episodes, the CPT measure had substantially higher predictive validity than the modified-NYU measure (AORs 5.70 vs. 3.31; p < .001).ConclusionsWe demonstrated an innovative approach for how claims data can be used to construct episodes of ED care among a sample of older adults. We also determined that the modified-NYU measure of severity and the CPT measure of intensity tap different aspects of ED episodes, and that both measures were predictive of subsequent hospitalization.
Highlights
Episodes of Emergency Department (ED) service use among older adults previously have not been constructed, or evaluated as multi-dimensional phenomena
We identified 25,580 claims associated with an ED visit and bundled these into 18,695 episodes of ED care
The volume of ED visits rose slightly over time from 1,451 episodes per 1,000 participants in 1992 to 1,688 episodes per 1000 participants in 2005. This reflects the aging of our cohort, inasmuch as the mean age of those having ED episodes increased steadily from 78 to 88 years old during this same period
Summary
Our goal was to advance the empirical investigation of ED use in two ways. The objectives of this study were to accurately define ED episodes of care among a cohort of older adults, to measure the severity and intensity of these ED episodes using two distinct approaches, and to compare the validity of these two measurement approaches using admission to the hospital from the ED as the outcome of primary interest.
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