Abstract

We study a credit risk model for a financial market in which the local drift rate of the logarithm of the intensity of the default time changes at the times at which certain unobservable external events occur. The risk-neutral dynamics of the default intensity are described by a generalized geometric Brownian motion and the changes of the local drift rate arrive at independent exponential times. We obtain closed form expressions for the rational values of defaultable European-style contingent claims through the filtering estimates of the occurrence of switching times given the filtration generated by the default intensity process.

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