DEEPURBANMODELLER (DUM): A PROCESS-INFORMED NEURAL ARCHITECTURE FOR HIGH-PRECISION URBAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE PREDICTION

Abstract

Abstract. High-resoulution downscaling of surface climate metrics like urban surface temperature, is a crucial and ongoing research challenge in urban climatology and environmental studies. In this study we propose a groundbreaking Physics-Inspired Neural Architecture for Modeling (PINAM) called DeepUrbanModeller(DUM), designed specifically for urban microclimate temperature estimation. DeepUrbanModeller(DUM) harnesses process-based modelling and satellite remote sensing, and draws upon high-accuracy 3D point clouds to deliver precise estimations of urban Land Surface Temperature (LST) at ultra-high resolutions. By incorporating high-accuracy land surface geometric data sourced from 3D point clouds and guided by the principles of atmospheric physics linked to surface temperature, DeepUrbanModeller(DUM) creates a data-driven framework, informed by physical laws, to accurately model high-resolution temperature distributions a task challenging for numerical simulations or conventional machine learning. The DeepUrbanModeller(DUM) design integrates two key components: Global Physical Feature Interpretation (GPFI) and Local Urban Surface Insight (LUSI). The GPFI captures broader urban physical parameters, ensuring the estimates comply with relevant physical laws. The LUSI enhances estimation performance at high-resolution levels by utilizing a newly proposed Urban Detail Orientation Index (UDOI) derived from 3D point clouds. Experimental results demonstrate the DeepUrbanModeller(DUM)’s superior capability in estimating urban LST on a detailed 30-by-30 meter grid, achieving an estimation error of less than 0.2 Kelvin compared to satellite measurements, a performance surpassing traditional methodologies.