Abstract
AbstractObservations made on 21 occupations between 1993 and 2016 of GO‐SHIP line SR1b in eastern Drake Passage show an average temperature of 0.53°C deeper than 2000 dbar, with no significant trend, but substantial year‐to‐year variability (standard deviation 0.08°C). Using a neutral density framework to decompose the temperature variability into isopycnal displacement (heave) and isopycnal property change components shows that approximately 95% of the year‐to‐year variance in deep temperature is due to heave. Changes on isopycnals make a small contribution to year‐to‐year variability but contribute a significant trend of −1.4 ± 0.6 m°C per year, largest for density (γn) > 28.1, south of the Polar Front (PF). The heave component is depth‐coherent and results from either vertical or horizontal motions of neutral density surfaces, which trend upward and northward around the PF, downward for the densest levels in the southern section, and downward and southward in the Subantarctic Front and Southern Antarctic Circumpolar Current Front (SACCF). A proxy for the locations of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) fronts is constructed from the repeat hydrographic data and has a strong relationship with deep ocean heat content, explaining 76% of deep temperature variance. The same frontal position proxy based on satellite altimeter‐derived surface velocities explains 73% of deep temperature variance. The position of the PF plays the strongest role in this relationship between ACC fronts and deep temperature variability in Drake Passage, although much of the temperature variability in the southern half of the section can be explained by the position of the SACCF.
Highlights
The ocean is responsible for absorbing 93% of the global energy imbalance since the 1970s [IPCC, 2013]
Annual observations of temperature on SR1b in Drake Passage show an average temperature below 2000 dbar of 0.53◦ C and a trend of -2.3±5.1 m◦ C yr−1 over the past
The 0.08◦ C standard deviation of the time series, responsible for the relatively large uncertainty on the trend, is more than enough to account for the change in trends
Summary
21 annual occupations of SR1b in Drake Passage show large interannual variability in deep temperature. Deep temperature variability related to positions of ACC fronts through simple proxy. This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record.
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