Deep Mobile Path Prediction With Shift-and-Join and Carry-Ahead

Abstract

Importance of user mobility has rapidly increased in 5G due to reduced cell sizes, management of Multi-access Edge Computing (MEC), and ultra-low latency services. Reactive nature of existing management systems is a bottleneck, and it can be solved by building proactive systems that exploit temporal characteristics of time-series mobility data to predict long-term user movement (i.e.path). However, user mobile path prediction with useable accuracy is a challenging task, particularly for lengthy target trajectories. This paper adopts general approaches to propose two models for predicting mobile path with high accuracy. Step Forward Iteration (SFI) model is based on recursive approach, whereas Encoder-Decoder (ED) model follows multi-output approach, and both the models use Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) as the learning unit. Training and testing of these models is done on mobility datasets from the wireless network of Pangyo ICT Research Center, Korea and one of the Korean mobile operators. The experiment results show viability of the proposed models for leveraging mobile network management, as they outperform state-of-the-art GRU with attention (GRU-ATTN) and Transformer Network (TN) models. The highest prediction accuracies achieved for 3, 5, and 7 steps of target sequences (i.e.predicted mobile path) in the campus dataset are 96%, 90%, and 87%, respectively.