Abstract

Background: In order to develop a new screening test of cognitive impairment, we studied whether cognitive function can be estimated from basic blood test data by applying deep learning models. This model was constructed based on the effects of systemic metabolic disorders on cognitive function.Methods: We employed a deep neural network (DNN) to predict cognitive function based on subject's age and blood test items (23 items). We included 202 patients (73.48 ± 13.1 years) with various systemic metabolic disorders for training of the DNN model, and the following groups for validation of the model: (1) Patient group, 65 patients (73.6 ± 11.0 years) who were hospitalized for rehabilitation after stroke; (2) Healthy group, 37 subjects (62.0 ± 8.6 years); (3) Health examination group, 165 subjects (54.0 ± 8.6 years) admitted for a health examination. The subjects underwent the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE).Results: There were significant positive correlations between the predicted MMSE scores and ground truth scores in the Patient and Healthy groups (r = 0.66, p < 0.001). There were no significant differences between the predicted MMSE scores and ground truth scores in the Patient group (p > 0.05); however, in the Healthy group, the predicted MMSE scores were slightly, but significantly, lower than the ground truth scores (p < 0.05). In the Health examination group, the DNN model classified 94 subjects as normal (MMSE = 27–30), 67 subjects as having mild cognitive impairment (24–26), and four subjects as having dementia (≤ 23). In 37 subjects in the Health examination group, the predicted MMSE scores were slightly lower than the ground truth MMSE (p < 0.05). In contrast, in the subjects with neurological disorders, such as subarachnoid hemorrhage, the ground truth MMSE scores were lower than the predicted scores.Conclusions: The DNN model could predict cognitive function accurately. The predicted MMSE scores were significantly lower than the ground truth scores in the Healthy and Health examination groups, while there was no significant difference in the Patient group. We suggest that the difference between the predicted and ground truth MMSE scores was caused by changes in atherosclerosis with aging, and that applying the DNN model to younger subjects may predict future cognitive impairment after the onset of atherosclerosis.

Highlights

  • As the world’s population ages rapidly, dementia is becoming a major global health problem

  • We have developed a DNN model which allows to predict cognitive impairment expressed by Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores

  • This method is based on the idea that cognitive impairment in the elderly is caused by systemic metabolic disorders such as lifestyle diseases, and uses basic blood test data of health examinations that do not include biomarkers for dementia such as amyloid β

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Summary

Introduction

As the world’s population ages rapidly, dementia is becoming a major global health problem. Emphasis is being placed on early diagnosis and intervention to prevent dementia onset (1). A screening test for cognitive dysfunction is important for early diagnosis. The Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) is the most commonly used test for cognitive function evaluation (2, 3). It is difficult administering the test to subjects with disorders such as visual and hearing impairments. In order to develop a new screening test of cognitive impairment, we studied whether cognitive function can be estimated from basic blood test data by applying deep learning models. This model was constructed based on the effects of systemic metabolic disorders on cognitive function

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