Deep learning assisted solar forecasting for battery swapping stations

Abstract

ABSTRACT For the development of renewable energy generation as a viable alternative to fossil fuel-based generation, solar power has received widespread acceptance. An increase in solar power usage can mitigate the impact of climate change, energy demand, and cost-effective dispatch. To use solar power efficiently and ensure grid consistency, reliable and accurate forecasting of information becomes very crucial. Hence, the main purpose of this work is to get the best suitable solar irradiance forecasting model and to implement the forecasted solar power to the designed hybrid battery swapping stations. Each year, new techniques and approaches are used to improve the model accuracy with the critical aim of lowering the variability of predictions. This paper takes a close look at different deep-learning methods to predict solar irradiance for a certain period of time. The real-time time series data is used, and for analyzing the time series data, the statistical ARIMA model, LSTM-based RNN technique, and Dual Attention-based Recurrent Neural network have been used. These models are implemented using Jupyter Notebook with Python programming language. To analyze the efficiency and evaluate the performance of real-time data of the models, a comparative study has been done on the different error metrics. This paper reveals that the LSTM model is providing the best solar power forecasting with the least error metrics like MSE of .0091, MAE of .0525, RMSE of .0953, and MSLE of .0047.