Abstract

The energy-related carbon emissions of China’s manufacturing increased rapidly, from 36988.97 × 104 tC in 1996 to 74923.45 × 104 tC in 2012. To explore the factors to the change of the energy-related carbon emissions from manufacturing sector and the decoupling relationship between energy-related carbon emissions and economic growth, the empirical research was carried out based on the LMDI method and Tapio decoupling model. We found that the production scale contributed the most to the increase of the total carbon emissions, while the energy intensity was the most inhibiting factor. And the effects of the intrastructure and fuel mix on the change of carbon emissions were relatively weak. At a disaggregative level within manufacturing sector, EI subsector had a greater impact on the change of the total carbon emissions, with much more potentiality of energy conservation and emission reduction. Weak decoupling of manufacturing sector carbon emissions from GDP could be observed in the manufacturing sector and EI subsector, while strong decoupling state appeared in NEI subsector. Several advices were put forward, such as adjusting the fuel structure and optimizing the intrastructure and continuing to improve the energy intensity to realize the manufacturing sustainable development in low carbon pattern.

Highlights

  • Carbon emissions amount from China has already surpassed the United States since 2007 and has been the number one in the world [1]

  • Energy-related carbon emissions from 1996 to 2012 were calculated from 28 subsectors of China manufacturing consuming 16 types of fuels, and the results indicated that carbon emissions from China manufacturing sector have been increasing rapidly since 2002

  • The paper makes the analysis of the reasons of the increase of carbon emissions, and the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth

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Summary

Introduction

Carbon emissions amount from China has already surpassed the United States since 2007 and has been the number one in the world [1]. Increasing trend of carbon emissions from China has received the great attention with the global warming. Both energy saving and emission reduction are becoming more and more important for Chinese government, who was committed to reducing carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by 40–45% in 2020 to be less than 2005 levels on the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference in 2009. The development of China manufacturing sector has been depending on the high energy consumption for a long time, and it was responsible for approximately 82.54% of China’s final energy demand in 1995–2006 [2]. It is necessary to study the changes of energy-related carbon emissions over time and to explore the main driving factors to increase carbon emissions from China manufacturing sector, as well as the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in order to help meet the government target

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