Abstract

Preface Part I. Cognitive Decision Making: 1. Must the scientist make value judgements? 2. On the seriousness of mistakes 3. Corroboration and rules of acceptance 4. Deductive cogency in inductive inference 5. Information and inference 6. Epistemic utility and the evaluation of experiments 7. Abduction and demands for information Part II. Knowledge and Ignorance: 8. Truth, fallibility and the growth of knowledge 9. Four types of ignorance 10. Escape from boredom: edification according to Rorty 11. Serious possibility Part III: Chance and Surprise: 12. Subjectives, dispositions and chances 13. Direct inference 14. Potential surprise: its role in inference and decision making Part IV. Decision Making: 15. Newcomb's many problems 16. Conflict and social agency 17. Liberty and welfare Bibliography of Isaac Levi Bibliography Index of names Index of subjects.

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