Abstract

Tourism activities are generally sought to increase the country’s foreign exchange, provide business opportunities, create employment opportunities and reduce unemployment. Coastal tourism is a part of the tourism activities related to the beauty of the beach panorama, sports tourism and environmental sustainability. In the industrial era 4.0, there has been a massive changes in science and technology known as the rapid disruptive movement of technology, causing many large companies to state bankruptcy and change the pattern of behavior of the current millennial generation. A lot of sectors, including tourism, which have so far been worked on by human labor, are being replaced by technology, robots or artificial intelligence. The development of tourism areas requires medium and long term of strategic studies and involves some elements including investors, transportation facilities, hotels, communication, etc. Given that the problems faced are so complex, dynamically changing at any time and faced with uncertainty (probabilistic), it needs to review whether the development of Integrated ecotourism management model in the Seribu Islands implements a system approach that is able to provide benefits and satisfaction of coastal tourism stakeholders. This study aimed to focus on developing the development of an integrated coastal tourism management model in the Seribu islands that was intended for ecotourism management consisting of several sub-models, namely: 1). prediction of tourist visits based on Forecasting and 2) Focus Group Discussion of coastal tourism actors based on the MAAMS method. The results of the discussion show that: 1) the tourist visits tend to increase, 2) some actors in the ecotourism are identified and 3) there is a solution for the roots of problem of coastal tourism that brings benefits to all actors.

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