Decision Support System For Modern Agricultural Enterprises

Abstract

In current conditions management approaches are implemented at various levels of the agro-industrial complex, the aggregate of agricultural producers has to be considered as open systems. In this case, the problems and tasks of its strategic management are focused but not the management of production and economic activity. The implementation of this issue requires a deeper preparation of necessary managerial decisions. Here, it is reasonable to use intellectual methods of information processing. The article presents a conceptual approach to the construction of a real-time expert system for effective management decisions by the head of an agricultural enterprise. The study of the article shows the results of the quantitative experiment of quality assessment in the activity of a decision maker (DM) in a livestock enterprise. This allowed ranking the managers according to their psychophysiological features and to build the appropriate graph. The study of the simulation model made it possible to assess the impact of ineffective functioning of dairy farm subsystems on milk yield (so a 40% decrease in DM’s quality results in a 34.1% decrease in milk yield). Decision Support System (DSS) gave an opportunity to improve DM’s efficiency. As the Decision Support System it seems reliable to apply a real time expert system due to uncertain factors in the objectives of decision-making of an agricultural enterprise. The experiments were conducted during the working shift for three formed groups of DMs. Some results of the experiments are given in the article.