Decision Support in Uncertain Environments

Abstract

There are ambiguities and vagueness in solar radiation records during a day. As a consequence, the development and adaptation of automatic knowledge acquisition techniques under uncertainty is entirely advisable. Among them fuzzy sets theory formulizes and analyses the situations in which the uncertainty is due to non-precise environment. Any good decision is based on information. Decision makers should reduce their uncertainty by obtaining as much reliable and consistent information as possible. In this paper, we introduce a novel decision support system for handling uncertain climate data consolidated with SAS application system. This novel approach is based on the membership function and multidimensional analysis. From our findings, we conclude that data warehousing and data mining are essentials for an effective decision support system. Because organizations frequently process uncertain information, decision makers should reduce their uncertainty by obtaining as much reliable and consistent information as possible. Due to the potential benefits of a data warehouse as well as internal and external pressure for creating a competitive advantage, many organizations have launched data warehouse projects with the expectations of acquiring a consistent and reliable source of data for their DSS. Therefore, a DSS with data warehouse should improve the performance of users by improving information accessibility which positively affects the quality of decision making [1]. At present there is a great need to provide decision makers from middle management upward with information at the correct level of detail to support decision making. Data warehousing, on-line analytical processing (OLAP), and data mining provide this functionality [2]. Although there are researchers in fields of certainty, such as the natural science fields of physics, mathematics, biology, and in the social science fields of philosophy, economy, society, psychology, cognition, almost nobody places suspicion on the uncertain essence of the world. An increasing number of scientists believe that uncertainty is the charm of the world and only uncertainty itself is certain! For a long time, humans thought uncertainty was equal to randomness. Probability theory is the main mathematical tool to solve the problem of randomness. With more in-depth studies, people found a kind of uncertainties that could not be described with randomness. That was “fuzziness”. Fuzziness is a characteristic feature of modern science to describe quantitative relationships and space formation by using precise definitions and rigidly proven theorems, and to explore the laws of the objective world by using precisely controlled experimental methods, accurate measurements, and calculation so as to establish a rigorous theoretic system [3]. There are ambiguities and vagueness in solar radiation records during a day. There is a desired need for providing a simple technique whereby uncertainties in the process of solar radiation measurements being handled. In this paper, we introduce a novel decision support system for handling uncertain climate data consolidated with SAS application system. This novel approach is based on the membership function and multidimensional analysis. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. The next section reviews related work. In Section 3 we will describe the characteristics of decision support systems. In Section 4 we demonstrate the basic data warehousing concepts. Section 5 provides the definition of a general framework for fuzzy sets in the presence of uncertainty. Section 6 introduces climate case study. In Section 7 we present our approach for solving this problem. Section 8 presents the results analysis. Section 9 shows International Journal for Information Security Research (IJISR), Volume 1, Issue 2, June 2011 Copyright © 2011, Infonomics Society 35