Abstract

Austral summer (December–February) surface air temperature over southeast Australia (SEA) is found to be remotely influenced by sea surface temperature (SST) in the South Atlantic at decadal time scales. In austral summer, warm SST anomalies in the southwest South Atlantic induce concurrent above-normal surface air temperature over SEA. This decadal-scale teleconnection occurs through the eastward propagating South Atlantic–Australia (SAA) wave train triggered by SST anomalies in the southwest South Atlantic. The excitation of the SAA wave train is verified by forcing experiments based on both linear barotropic and baroclinic models, propagation pathway and spatial scale of the observed SAA wave train are further explained by the Rossby wave ray tracing analysis in non-uniform basic flow. The SAA wave train forced by southwest South Atlantic warming is characterized by an anomalous anticyclone off the eastern coast of the Australia. Temperature diagnostic analyses based on the thermodynamic equation suggest anomalous northerly flows on western flank of this anticyclone can induce low-level warm advection anomaly over SEA, which thus lead to the warming of surface air temperature there. Finally, SST-forced atmospheric general circulation model ensemble experiments also demonstrate that SST forcing in the South Atlantic is associated with the SAA teleconnection wave train in austral summer, this wave train then modulate surface air temperature over SEA on decadal timescales. Hence, observations combined with numerical simulations consistently demonstrate the decadal-scale teleconnection between South Atlantic SST and summertime surface air temperature over SEA.

Highlights

  • Southeast Australia (SEA; south of 30°S and east of 140°E), a highly populated area, is a major center of Australia’s agriculture, industry and economy

  • We found warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in southwest South Atlantic can induce the warming of summertime surface air temperature over SEA on decadal time scales

  • The wave dynamics for the South Atlantic–Australia (SAA) wave train is elucidated using a linear barotropic model forced with anomalous South Atlantic multi-decadal variability (SAMV)-related Rossby wave source (RWS) over the southwest South Atlantic and linear baroclinic model (LBM) forced with diabatic heating associated with the SAMV

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Summary

Introduction

Southeast Australia (SEA; south of 30°S and east of 140°E), a highly populated area, is a major center of Australia’s agriculture, industry and economy. Based on the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of global SST anomalies, several studies have identified a decadal-scale interhemispheric SST dipole mode, which is mainly characterized by SST anomalies of opposing sign between the North and South Atlantic (Parker et al 2007; Dima and Lohmann 2010; Sun et al 2013) This decadal-scale dipole mode was shown to be associated with the fluctuation of AMOC (Vellinga and Wood 2002; Wang et al 2014; Sun et al 2015b; Lopez et al 2016b), and can be used to indicate the strength of the AMOC (Latif et al 2006). This study will focus on the decadal-scale teleconnection between South Atlantic SST and austral summer surface air temperature over SEA, as well as the underlying mechanism for this teleconnection.

Datasets
Statistical methods
Wave activity flux
Theoretical models
Thermodynamic equation
Decadal‐scale covariability between South
Teleconnection wave train bridging the South
Decadal‐scale teleconnection in SST‐forced AGCM simulations
Findings
Summary and discussion
Full Text
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