Abstract

Friedman's philosophical view has been the object of several, sometimes contradictory, interpretations. Whatever the interpretation, a specific aspect of Friedman's methodological and epistemological framework has been overlooked: Friedman's adherence to the neo-Bayesian interpretation of probability and induction. This paper, by rectifying this oversight, claims that Friedman's instrumentalism was a pioneering attempt to introduce a blend of positivism, pragmatism, and ‘radical probabilism’ into economic analysis. From this angle Friedman's philosophical work emerges as a contribution to the debate over the ontological status of scientific entities and theories as well as to the methodology of economics.

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