Abstract

AbstractIn this paper, we examine empirically the day-of-the-week effect on the Tunisian stock exchange index (TUNINDEX) return and volatility. We use three multivariate general autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models (GARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1), and TGARCH (1,1)) to examine the presence of daily anomalies in the TUNINDEX returns and volatilities during the period from 31 December 1997 to 07 April 2014. The empirical results of GARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1), and TGARCH (1,1) model indicate the existence of a significance and positive effect for Thursdays and for the return at (t − 1) on the return and volatility of TUNINDEX in a threshold of 1%. Additionally, we find the presence of a significance and negative effect for Tuesday on the TUNINDEX return and volatility. Also, we can show the persistence of volatility in the case of Tunisian stock market index.

Highlights

  • The Hypothesis of efficiency of markets (HEM) postulates that the stock exchanges must effectively reflect all information available on their fundamental value

  • The estimation results of Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) (1,1) and Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) (1,1) models indicate the highly impact of the returns observed at date (t-1) and a significance and positive impact of Thursdays on the TUNINDEX returns

  • We investigate empirically the day of the week effect on the Tunisian stock exchange returns and volatility

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Summary

Introduction

The Hypothesis of efficiency of markets (HEM) postulates that the stock exchanges must effectively reflect all information available on their fundamental value. We investigate empirically the effect of the day of the week on the stock returns and volatility of the Tunisian stock exchange market. The empirical findings of estimated GARCH models indicate the existence of the impact of the day of the week on the stock returns and volatility of the TUNINDEX. The results of GARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1) and TGARCH (1,1) models show the existence of a highly and positive effect for Wednesday, Thursdays, Friday and the past return at date (t-1) on the stock returns and volatilities.

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