Abstract

This analysis examines forecasting gender trends for primary school teachers in Somalia from the academic years 2015/2016 to 2025/2026. For male teachers, the data reveals an increase from 5,587 in 2015/2016 to 10,812 in 2021/2022, with predictions suggesting further growth to approximately 14,673 by 2025/2026, despite some short-term fluctuations. In contrast, female teachers rose from 498 to 1,838 during the same period, followed by a slight decline to 1,774 in 2022/2023. Forecasts indicate a temporary decrease to about 1,567 in 2023/2024 but anticipate a significant rebound to nearly 2,924 by 2025/2026. The findings highlight a trend of increasing male representation and fluctuating female participation among primary school teachers in Somalia, underscoring the need for targeted policies to address these gender dynamics.

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