Abstract

The prediction and optimization of the rate of penetration (ROP) for horizontal wells are more complicated than for vertical wells, but most of the current ROP prediction studies are for vertical wells, which cannot be adapted to the complex drilling characteristics of horizontal wells. To this end, this paper proposes a data knowledge dual-driven horizontal well ROP prediction method. Firstly, the drilling characteristics of horizontal wells are analyzed, showing that the horizontal wells ROP prediction model cannot be modeled using surface measurement data; secondly, based on the analysis of horizontal well drilling characteristics, a physical model-based horizontal well ROP modeling data pre-processing method is proposed by introducing the drag and torque model. Finally, a data knowledge dual-driven horizontal well ROP prediction method is proposed in conjunction with data-driven algorithms. The proposed horizontal well ROP prediction method is applied to the A1~A4 wells in the Sichuan area. Compared with the conventional data-driven ROP prediction method, the prediction accuracy of this method is improved by 30%. The proposed method can provide a basis for the intelligent optimization and management of ROP during the drilling of horizontal wells.

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