Abstract
<div>Abstract<p>Background: Sex and racial/ethnic identity specific cut-points for validating tobacco use using Wave 1 (W1) of the PATH Study were published in 2020. The current study establishes predictive validity of the W1 (2014) urinary cotinine and Total Nicotine Equivalents-2 (TNE-2) cut-points on estimating Wave 4 (W4; 2017) tobacco use. Methods: For exclusive and polytobacco cigarette use, weighted prevalence estimates based on W4 self-report alone and with exceeding the W1 cut-point were calculated to identify the percentage missed without biochemical verification. Sensitivity and specificity of W1 cut-points on W4 self-reported tobacco use status were examined. Receiver Operating Characteristic curves were used to determine the optimal W4 cut-points to distinguish P30D users from non-users, and evaluate if the cut-points significantly differed from W1. Results: Agreement between W4 self-reported use and exceeding the W1 cut-points was high overall and when stratified by demographic subgroups (0.7- 4.4% of use was missed if relying on self-report alone). The predictive validity of using the W1 cut-points to classify exclusive cigarette and polytobacco cigarette use at W4 was high (>90% sensitivity and specificity, except among polytobacco Hispanic smokers). Cut-points derived using W4 data did not significantly differ from the W1 derived cut-points (e.g., W1 exclusive= 40.5 ng/mL cotinine [95% CI: 26.1-62.8], W4 exclusive = 29.9 ng/ml cotinine [95% CI: 13.5-66.4]), among most demographic subgroups. Conclusion: The W1 cut-points remain valid for biochemical verification of self-reported tobacco use in W4. Impact: Findings from can be used in clinical and epidemiological studies to reduce misclassification of cigarette smoking status.</p></div>
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