Abstract

<div>Abstract<p>Single-cell technologies have elucidated mechanisms responsible for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) response, but are not amenable to a clinical diagnostic setting. In contrast, bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) is now routine for research and clinical applications. Our workflow uses transcription factor (TF)–directed coexpression networks (regulons) inferred from single-cell RNA-seq data to deconvolute immune functional states from bulk RNA-seq data. Regulons preserve the phenotypic variation in CD45<sup>+</sup> immune cells from metastatic melanoma samples (<i>n</i> = 19, discovery dataset) treated with ICIs, despite reducing dimensionality by >100-fold. Four cell states, termed exhausted T cells, monocyte lineage cells, memory T cells, and B cells were associated with therapy response, and were characterized by differentially active and cell state–specific regulons. Clustering of bulk RNA-seq melanoma samples from four independent studies (<i>n</i> = 209, validation dataset) according to regulon-inferred scores identified four groups with significantly different response outcomes (<i>P</i> < 0.001). An intercellular link was established between exhausted T cells and monocyte lineage cells, whereby their cell numbers were correlated, and exhausted T cells predicted prognosis as a function of monocyte lineage cell number. The ligand–receptor expression analysis suggested that monocyte lineage cells drive exhausted T cells into terminal exhaustion through programs that regulate antigen presentation, chronic inflammation, and negative costimulation. Together, our results demonstrate how regulon-based characterization of cell states provide robust and functionally informative markers that can deconvolve bulk RNA-seq data to identify ICI responders.</p></div>

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