Abstract

<div>Abstract<p>In metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), recent studies have shown the importance to accurately quantify low-abundance mutations of the <i>RAS</i> pathway because anti-EGFR therapy may depend on certain mutation thresholds. We aimed to evaluate the added predictive value of an extended <i>RAS</i> panel testing using two commercial assays and a highly sensitive and quantitative digital PCR (dPCR). Tumor samples from 583 mCRC patients treated with anti–EGFR- (<i>n</i> = 255) or bevacizumab- (<i>n</i> = 328) based therapies from several clinical trials and retrospective series from the TTD/RTICC Spanish network were analyzed by cobas, <i>therascreen</i>, and dPCR. We evaluated concordance between techniques using the Cohen kappa index. Response rate, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were correlated to the mutational status and the mutant allele fraction (MAF). Concordance between techniques was high when analyzing <i>RAS</i> and <i>BRAF</i> (Cohen kappa index around 0.75). We observed an inverse correlation between MAF and response in the anti-EGFR cohort (<i>P</i> < 0.001). Likelihood ratio analysis showed that a fraction of 1% or higher of any mutated alleles offered the best predictive value. PFS and OS were significantly longer in <i>RAS</i>/<i>BRAF</i> wild-type patients, independently of the technique. However, the predictability of both PFS and OS were higher when we considered a threshold of 1% in the <i>RAS</i> scenario (HR = 1.53; CI 95%, 1.12–2.09 for PFS, and HR = 1.9; CI 95%, 1.33–2.72 for OS). Although the rate of mutations observed among techniques is different, <i>RAS</i> and <i>BRAF</i> mutational analysis improved prediction of response to anti-EGFR therapy. Additionally, dPCR with a threshold of 1% outperformed the other platforms. <i>Mol Cancer Ther; 16(9); 1999–2007. ©2017 AACR</i>.</p></div>

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