Abstract
<div>Abstract<p><b>Purpose:</b> To improve the clinical management of human hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by accurate identification, at diagnosis, of patients at risk of recurrence after primary treatment for HCC.</p><p><b>Experimental Design:</b> Two clinicopathologic variables available at diagnosis, vascular invasion and cirrhosis, together with molecular profiling using Affymetrix human HG-U133A and HG-U133B oligonucleotide probe arrays, were used to identify recurrent HCC disease.</p><p><b>Results:</b> HCC patients presented clinically at diagnosis with vascular invasion and cirrhosis showed a high rate (78-83%) of developing recurrent disease within 6 to 35 months. In comparison, most of the HCC patients (80-100%) without vascular invasion and cirrhosis remained disease-free. However, the risk of recurrent disease for HCC patients with either vascular invasion or cirrhosis could not be accurately ascertained. Using a pool of 23 HCC patients with either vascular invasion or cirrhosis as training set, a 57-gene signature was derived and could predict recurrent disease at diagnosis, with 84% (sensitivity 86%, specificity 82%) accuracy, for a totally independent test set of 25 HCC patients with either vascular invasion or cirrhosis. On further analysis, the disease-free rate was significantly different between patients that were predicted to recur or not to recur in the test group (<i>P</i> = 0.002).</p><p><b>Conclusion:</b> We have presented data to show that by incorporating the status of vascular invasion and cirrhosis available at diagnosis for patients with HCC after partial curative hepatectomy and a novel 57-member gene signature, we could accurately stratify HCC patients with different risks of recurrence.</p></div>
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