Abstract

As an important part of prognostics and health management, remaining useful life (RUL) prediction can provide users and managers with system life information and improve the reliability of maintenance systems. Data-driven methods are powerful tools for RUL prediction because of their great modeling abilities. However, most current data-driven studies require large amounts of labeled training data and assume that the training data and test data follow similar distributions. In fact, the collected data are often variable due to different equipment operating conditions, fault modes, and noise distributions. As a result, the assumption that the training data and the test data obey the same distribution may not be valid. In response to the above problems, this paper proposes a data-driven framework with domain adaptability using a bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BGRU). The framework uses a domain-adversarial neural network (DANN) to implement transfer learning (TL) from the source domain to the target domain, which contains only sensor information. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, we analyze the IEEE PHM 2012 Challenge datasets and use them for verification. The experimental results show that the generalization ability of the model is effectively improved through the domain adaptation approach.

Highlights

  • Prognostics aims to provide reliable remaining useful life (RUL) predictions for critical components and systems via a degradation process

  • We propose the use of bidirectional gated recurrent units (GRUs) (BGRUs) to solve the problem of sequential data processing

  • The domain-adversarial neural network (DANN) classifier is set to a 3-layer fully connected (FC) structure, and the domain classifier is a 3-layer FC structure

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Summary

Introduction

Prognostics aims to provide reliable remaining useful life (RUL) predictions for critical components and systems via a degradation process. Based on reliable forecast results, managers can determine the best periods for equipment maintenance and formulate corresponding management plans; this is expected to improve reliability during operation and reduce risks and costs. Prognostic methods are classified into model-based methods and data-driven methods (Heng et al, 2009). Model-based methods describe the degradation process of engineering systems by establishing mathematical models based on the failure mechanism or the first principle of damage (Cubillo, Perinpanayagam & Esperon-Miguez, 2016). The physical parameters of the model should vary with different operating environments, so the uncertainty of parameters limits the application of such methods in industrial systems (Pecht & Jaai, 2010). Data-driven remaining useful life prediction based on domain adaptation.

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