Abstract

Abstract

Highlights

  • At sufficiently high Reynolds numbers all surfaces are hydrodynamically rough, as is almost always the case for flows past the surfaces of naval vessels

  • The construction of a predictive model from a large ensemble of datasets for the equivalent sand-grain height ks of a surface of arbitrary roughness, as a function of many different measures of surface topography, is a labelled regression problem that is well-suited to machine learning (ML) techniques

  • Machine learning techniques are well suited to this modelling problem because: (i) it is complex in so far as different kinds of surface roughness yield different flow phenomena which are modelled most accurately in different ways, making the prospect of a general physical model very remote; and (ii) the dependent surface-roughness variables upon which ks is modelled are a large non-orthogonal set for which robust multivariable regression techniques are required

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Summary

Introduction

At sufficiently high Reynolds numbers all surfaces are hydrodynamically rough, as is almost always the case for flows past the surfaces of naval vessels. Moody 1944) that can predict accurately the surface drag coefficient is not known a priori and does not appear to be equivalent to any single geometrical length scale, such as an average or a root mean square (r.m.s.) of roughness height (Flack 2018) It is well-established that ks can depend on many geometrical parameters such as the effective slope (Napoli, Armenio & De Marchis 2008; Yuan & Piomelli 2014a) and the skewness of the roughness height distribution (Flack & Schultz 2010). The small number of roughness parameters used to devise ks correlations tended to limit their application to a narrow range of surface roughness Since it appears that many geometrical parameters, such as porosity, moments of roughness height (e.g. r.m.s., skewness and kurtusis), effective slope and surface inclination angle might affect ks, it is useful to employ a data science approach suited to modelling large multivariate/multioutput systems. We describe the ML models, their predictions of ks and their uncertainty

Governing equations
Surface roughness
Simulation parameters
Post-processed results
ML predictions of the equivalent sand-grain height
Uncertainty estimation
Sensitivity analysis
Comparison between ML algorithms and polynomial models
Concluding remarks
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