Data-Driven Fracture Morphology Prognosis from High Pressured Modified Proppants Based on Stochastic-Adam-RMSprop Optimizers; tf.NNR Study

Abstract

Data-driven models with some evolutionary optimization algorithms, such as particle swarm optimization (PSO) and ant colony optimization (ACO) for hydraulic fracturing of shale reservoirs, have in recent times been validated as one of the best-performing machine learning algorithms. Log data from well-logging tools and physics-driven models is difficult to collate and model to enhance decision-making processes. The study sought to train, test, and validate synthetic data emanating from CMG’s numerically propped fracture morphology modeling to support and enhance productive hydrocarbon production and recovery. This data-driven numerical model was investigated for efficient hydraulic-induced fracturing by using machine learning, gradient descent, and adaptive optimizers. While satiating research curiosities, the online predictive analysis was conducted using the Google TensorFlow tool with the Tensor Processing Unit (TPU), focusing on linear and non-linear neural network regressions. A multi-structured dense layer with 1000, 100, and 1 neurons was compiled with mean absolute error (MAE) as loss functions and evaluation metrics concentrating on stochastic gradient descent (SGD), Adam, and RMSprop optimizers at a learning rate of 0.01. However, the emerging algorithm with the best overall optimization process was found to be Adam, whose error margin was 101.22 and whose accuracy was 80.24% for the entire set of 2000 synthetic data it trained and tested. Based on fracture conductivity, the data indicates that there was a higher chance of hydrocarbon production recovery using this method.