Data and Methods: Treaties, Power, Scarcity and Conflict

Abstract

The primary datasets used in this analysis include: from the treaty data extracted from Oregon State University and International Water Management, (summarized as mechanisms), summary statistics of the GDP and stability indices for each country used to estimate power differences, a historical drought index for each basin, and historical conflict data from Oregon State University’s Transboundary Freshwater Dispute Database. From the treaty data, specific components are summed to estimate a value for each of seven different mechanisms that together make up the strength, or resiliency, of a treaty. Projected water variability data extracted from global climate and runoff models is used in the case study analysis.