Abstract

Introduction - explanations of international crisis outcomes. Part 1 Theory: deterrance and compellence the military balance and the balance of interests psychology and strategic culture. Part 2 Case studies: the Berlin blockade, 1949 the US invasion of North Korea, 1950 the Taiwan straits crisis, 1954-55 the Berlin crisis, 1958-1962 the Cuban missile crisis, 1962 the Sino-Soviet border crisis, 1969 Argentina's invasion of the Falklands Islands, 1982 Iraq's refusal to withdraw from Kuwait, 1990-1991. Part 3 Conclusion: explaining international crisis outcomes.

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