Abstract

Households have different sources of income, and the heterogeneity of income will make the interest rates from monetary policy have a different impact because the effect of redistribution so that it will eventually cause the differences in income distribution. The channel of monetary policy redistribution shows how the transmission mechanism of monetary policy affect income distribution and eventually have an impact on income inequality. This study aims to find out and analyze the impact of monetary policy on income inequality in Indonesia in 1995Q1 – 2017Q4 and examine one of the channels of the transmission mechanism that is income composition channel. The analytical method used is Vector Error Correction Model, this is based on the existence of a cointegration relationship in the analysis model used. The results of the study show that contractionary monetary policy by raising interest rates can increase income inequality both in the short term and long term and on the contrary expansive monetary policy can reduce income inequality. Expansive monetary policy can encourage economic activity, reduce unemployment and increase income especially for low-income households, so that this condition can produce a better income distribution.

Highlights

  • Households have different sources of income, and the heterogeneity of income will make the interest rates from monetary policy have a different impact because the effect of redistribution so that it will eventually cause the differences in income distribution

  • This study aims to find out and analyze the impact of monetary policy on income inequality in Indonesia in 1995Q1 - 2017Q4 and examine one of the channels of the transmission mechanism that is income composition channel

  • The analytical method used is Vector Error Correction Model, this is based on the existence of a cointegration relationship in the analysis model used

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Summary

METODE PENELITIAN Pengukuran Ketimpangan Pendapatan

Pengukuran tingkat ketimpangan pendapatan menggunakan data Indeks Gini yang diperoleh dari Standardized World Income Inequality (SWIID v7.1). Kedua dengan menggunakan perubahan yang tidak terduga pada pertumbuhan ekonomi dan inflasi melalui forecast error jangka pendek mampu mengurangi kemungkinan potensi adanya respon endogen dari kebijakan moneter terhadap perubahan pertumbuhan ekonomi atau inflasi. Teknik analisis data yang digunakan untuk mengetahui dampak kebijakan moneter terhadap ketimpangan pendapatan adalah menggunakan Vector Error Corection Model (VECM). Pertama akan diuji bagaimana pengaruh shock unexpected interest rate terhadap pendapatan yang berasal dari upah dan pendapatan yang berasal dari kepemilikan aset finansial yang direpresentasikan oleh variabel income deposit dan stock market capitalization. Adapun model analisis dalam penelitian ini adalah sebagai berikut: Dimana Gini adalah Indeks Gini, adalah shock kebijakan moneter (unexpected interest rate), Wage adalah log upah, ID adalah log income deposit, SC adalah log stock market capitalization, adalah error term.

HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN Uji Stasioneritas
Hasil Uji Stasioneritas pada Equation Test Second Difference
Hasil analisis IRF terhadap shock kebijakan moneter
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