Abstract

The major sources of error in the measurements of concrete structures are the gauge sensitivities, calibration accuracies, amplitude linearities, and temperature corrections to the gauge sensitivities, which are given in terms of plus–minus ranges, and the round off errors in the measured responses, which are better represented by interval bounds. An algorithm is proposed adapting the existing modified Metropolis Hastings algorithm for estimating the posterior probability of the damage indices as well as the posterior probability of the bounds of the interval parameters, when the measurements are given in terms of interval bounds. A damage index is defined for each element of the finite element model considering the parameters of each element are intervals. Methods are developed for evaluating response bounds in the finite element software ABAQUS, when the parameters of the finite element model are intervals. The proposed method is validated against reinforced concrete beams with three damage scenarios mainly (1) loss of stiffness, (2) loss of mass, and (3) loss of bond between concrete and reinforcement steel, which have been tested in our laboratory. Comparison of the prediction from the proposed method with those obtained from Bayesian analysis and interval optimization technique show improved accuracy and computational efficiency in addition to better representation of measurement uncertainties through interval bounds.

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