Abstract
Probabilistic models describe the relationship between the day of the week on which spells of sickness absence begin and their subsequent duration, particular attention being paid to the tendency for employees to delay the return to work until after the weekend. Also, the pattern of absence inception by day of the week is studied in relation to the null hypothesis of an even distribution over the whole week for the inception of “unfitness for work”. The absence experience of a population of day workers on a five‐day week is used as illustration.
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