Abstract
The availability and accessibility of oceanographic data is critical to the sustainability of our oceans into the future. Ocean temperature climatology data products utilising long time series provide context to ocean warming and allow the identification of anomalous environmental conditions. Here we describe a new methodology to create a daily subsurface temperature climatology using data from three different sources with varying spatial and temporal coverage. The Port Hacking National Reference Station off South East Australia is the site of bottle data collected typically every 1 to 4 weeks at discrete depths between 1953 and 2010, and since 2009 near-monthly vertical profiling CTD profiles and 5 minute moored data at various depths. Calculating an unbiased climatology using temperature data sets obtained via different methods, with varying resolution and uncertainty, is challenging. To account for days with limited bottle data, and thus limit the bias from more recent higher temporal resolution data, a time-centered moving window of±2 days was used to incorporate data collected on neighbouring days. To account for different data sources measured on the same date, a date-averaging method was used. As moored data between 2009 and 2019 represented 70 % of data for a given day of the year but approximately 1/7 of the 66 year temperature record, a novel data source ratio was implemented to avoid bias towards warmer recent years. Data were organised into their corresponding observed years, and a ratio of 6:1 between bottle and mooring observation years was enforced. To assess the methodology, the steps provided here were tested using synthetically-created temperature data with similar properties to the real observations. The lowest root mean square errors calculated between the known synthetic climatology statistics and the different solution-dependent synthetic climatology statistics confirmed the methodology. The resulting daily temperature climatology shows the seasonal cycle as a function of depth, related to changes in stratification and vertical mixing, and allows for the identification of temperature anomalies. The methodology presented in this paper is readily applicable to other sites across Australia and worldwide where long records exist consisting of multiple data sets with varying sampling characteristics.
Highlights
Over the decades, ocean ecosystems and the networks that rely on them will come under increased pressure from a changing climate system
The daily ocean temperature climatology, produced using the methodology described in section 4, was useful for computing intra-annual temperature variability at the NRSPHB / PH100 site
Producing a daily temperature climatology at this site has allowed for the delayed-mode identification of extremes at the Port Hacking site, which has been delivered as a web-based app
Summary
Ocean ecosystems and the networks that rely on them will come under increased pressure from a changing climate system. Such mean state is useful for relating long-term patterns with short term variability, allowing the identification of periods of anomalously high or low conditions (Schaeffer and Roughan, 2017; Schlegel et al, 2017; Oliver et al, 2018) Warm events, such as marine heatwaves (MHWs), are commonly defined as prolonged discrete events when temperatures are warmer than the 90th percentile (based on at least a 30 year long climatology) for 5 days or more (Hobday et al, 2016). At this time the site was renamed “NRSPHB.” The PH100 mooring was deployed in 2009 as part of the NSW-IMOS moorings programme (the New South Wales node of IMOS, www.imos.org.au), led by the University of New South Wales (UNSW) Sydney (Roughan and Morris, 2011; Roughan et al, 2013, 2015)
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