Dış Borç Stoku, Enflasyon ve Ekonomik Büyüme ilişkisinin Türkiye Açısından Analizi: 1970-2020 Dönemi için Vektör Otoregresif Model - Granger Nedensellik Testi ve Toda-Yamamoto

Abstract

In a sense, in the same sense as an important external problem for developing countries as well. In cases where domestic consumption is appropriate, payments are made in foreign purchases because of low income from consumption. Although it is expressed negatively, it is possible to achieve the domestic economic balance with a good shopping external debt process. In particular, economic growth is discussed in theoretical education. The prices listed for this are among the subjects that benefit from the resources taken from the resources benefited from. Whether the economies for this environment are negative or positive from the economic point of view, it will be from the economic budget and the management. In this study, Turkey's economic 1970-2020 foreign debt, inflation and growth were tested with VAR, Granger Causality Test and Toda-Yamamoto Analysis. From the external outlook of real GDP and rollback of inflation, from the stock used to evaluate the choice of GDP and from the control of inflation, from the choice of GDP, from the buy-back of real GDP, from the external stock of real GDP and from the control of inflation from the evaluation of the choice of GDP from the external debt analysis and Select GH from external debt in the analysis of the conductivity of inflation in the choice of GDP. That's because GDP is the Granger cause. In the Toda-Yamamoto test, on the other hand, it is obtained because there is causality from external debt stock to GDP and inflation, from GDP to external debt stock and inflation, and from inflation to external debt stock and GDP.