Abstract

AbstractTransient abnormal myelopoiesis (TAM) occurs in 10% of neonates with Down syndrome (DS). Although most patients show spontaneous resolution of TAM, early death occurs in ∼20% of cases. Therefore, new biomarkers are needed to predict early death and determine therapeutic interventions. This study aimed to determine the association between clinical characteristics and cytokine levels in patients with TAM. A total of 128 patients with DS with TAM enrolled in the TAM-10 study conducted by the Japanese Pediatric Leukemia/Lymphoma Study Group were included in this study. Five cytokine levels (interleukin-1b [IL-1b], IL-1 receptor agonist, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-13) were significantly higher in patients with early death than in those with nonearly death. Cumulative incidence rates (CIRs) of early death were significantly associated with high levels of the 5 cytokines. Based on unsupervised consensus clustering, patients were classified into 3 cytokine groups: hot-1 (n = 37), hot-2 (n = 42), and cold (n = 49). The CIR of early death was significantly different between the cytokine groups (hot-1/2, n = 79; cold, n = 49; hot-1/2 CIR, 16.5% [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.9-24.2]; cold CIR, 2.0% [95% CI, 0.0-5.9]; P = .013). Furthermore, cytokine groups (hot-1/2 vs cold) were independent poor prognostic factors in the multivariable analysis for early death (hazard ratio, 19.25; 95% CI, 2.056-180.3; P = .010). These results provide valuable information that cytokine level measurement was useful in predicting early death in patients with TAM and might help to determine the need for therapeutic interventions.

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