Cusum Test for Parameter Change Based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimator

Abstract

In this paper we consider the problem of testing for a parameter change based on the cusum test (cf. Lee, S.; Ha, J.; Na, O.; Na, S. The cusum test for parameter change in time series models. Scand. J. Statist. 2003, 30, 651–739) utilizing the maximum likelihood estimator. The issue is handled in iid random samples, and then special attention is paid to hidden Markov models. It is shown that the limiting distribution of the cusum test statistic is the sup of a standard Brownian bridge under regularity conditions. A simulation result is provided for illustration.