Abstract

Accurate estimation of Breast Implant-Associated Anaplastic Large Cell Lymphoma (BIA-ALCL) incidence is crucial for assessing breast-implant-associated risk. However, the size of the implanted population worldwide is unknown, making it challenging to appropriately estimate this figure. This study aims to provide a new reliable and reproducible method to estimate the breast-implanted-population (BIP), reporting a reliable annual BIA-ALCL incidence estimate. Moreover, we discuss all activities performed over the past decade in collecting complete histories, managing, and monitoring outcomes of each Italian case. Data from the National Breast Implant Registry and from manufacturers have been used to define a new formula to estimate the BIP at risk of developing a breast-implant-related event. From the BIA-ALCL registry, complete information on Italian cases has been collected and analysed. Overall survival is estimated by the Kaplan-Meier curve. From 2010 to June 2024, 111 BIA-ALCL cases were recorded in Italy. The estimated incidence rate showed an upward trend, ranging from 2.68 to 6.35 cases per 100,000 patient-years. Thanks to newly promoted disease awareness, most patients had a complete response to treatment, resulting in a three-year overall survival rate estimate of 98.2%. The BIP formula showed to be an innovative, effective and reproducible tool to make a reliable estimation of the implanted population, confirming that BIA-ALCL is a rare disease with an incidence rate estimate varying from 2.7 to 6.3 cases/100.000 patient-years in the last five years. Eleven-year experience in this field also confirmed that this disease has a favorable prognosis if properly treated. This journal requires that authors assign a level of evidence to each article. For a full description of these Evidence-Based Medicine ratings, please refer to the Table of Contents or the online Instructions to Authors www.springer.com/00266 .

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