Abstract
BackgroundBoth hyperlactatemia and persistence of hyperlactatemia have been associated with bad outcome. We compared lactate and lactate-derived variables in outcome prediction.MethodsRetrospective observational study. Case records from 2,251 consecutive intensive care unit (ICU) patients admitted between 2001 and 2007 were analyzed. Baseline characteristics, all lactate measurements, and in-hospital mortality were recorded. The time integral of arterial blood lactate levels above the upper normal threshold of 2.2 mmol/L (lactate-time-integral), maximum lactate (max-lactate), and time-to-first-normalization were calculated. Survivors and nonsurvivors were compared and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were applied.ResultsA total of 20,755 lactate measurements were analyzed. Data are srpehown as median [interquartile range]. In nonsurvivors (n = 405) lactate-time-integral (192 [0–1881] min·mmol/L) and time-to-first normalization (44.0 [0–427] min) were higher than in hospital survivors (n = 1846; 0 [0–134] min·mmol/L and 0 [0–75] min, respectively; all p < 0.001). Normalization of lactate <6 hours after ICU admission revealed better survival compared with normalization of lactate >6 hours (mortality 16.6% vs. 24.4%; p < 0.001). AUC of ROC curves to predict in-hospital mortality was the largest for max-lactate, whereas it was not different among all other lactate derived variables (all p > 0.05). The area under the ROC curves for admission lactate and lactate-time-integral was not different (p = 0.36).ConclusionsHyperlactatemia is associated with in-hospital mortality in a heterogeneous ICU population. In our patients, lactate peak values predicted in-hospital mortality equally well as lactate-time-integral of arterial blood lactate levels above the upper normal threshold.
Highlights
Both hyperlactatemia and persistence of hyperlactatemia have been associated with bad outcome
Hyperlactatemia may be found during increased aerobic glycolysis in hypermetabolic states from various causes [1,2], in patients treated with catecholamines [3,4], as a consequence of alkalosis in hyperventilation [5], and with impaired hepatic lactate clearance in sepsis or low flow states [6]
Case records from all intensive care unit (ICU) patients with available lactate measurements admitted during a 5-year period, January 2002 to December 2006, were identified in the ICU database
Summary
Both hyperlactatemia and persistence of hyperlactatemia have been associated with bad outcome. We compared lactate and lactate-derived variables in outcome prediction. Hyperlactatemia may be found during increased aerobic glycolysis in hypermetabolic states from various causes [1,2], in patients treated with catecholamines [3,4], as a consequence of alkalosis in hyperventilation [5], and with impaired hepatic lactate clearance in sepsis or low flow states [6]. We hypothesized that the severity of persistent hyperlactatemia represented by the time integral of arterial blood lactate levels above the upper normal threshold of 2.2 mmol/L (lactate-time-integral) outperforms single lactate measurements in predicting outcome. We retrospectively investigated the relationship between lactate derived variables (admission level, maximum level, time-to-first-normalization, lactate-time-integral) and inhospital mortality in a large, mixed intensive care unit (ICU) population. We looked at possible differences between survivors and nonsurvivors in the 24 hours after admittance [16]
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