CT Radiomics Predict EGFR-T790M Resistance Mutation in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients After Progression on First-line EGFR-TKI

Abstract

We aim to explore the value of chest CT radiomics in predicting the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-T790M resistance mutation of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients after the failure of first-line EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (EGFR-TKI). A total of 211 and 135 advanced NSCLC patients with tumor tissue-based (Cohort-1) or circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based (Cohort-2) EGFR-T790M testing were included, respectively. Cohort-1 was used for modeling and Cohort-2 was for models' validation. Radiomic features were extracted from tumor lesions on chest nonenhanced CT (NECT) and/or contrast-enhanced CT (CECT). We used eight feature selectors and eight classifier algorithms to establish radiomic models. Models were evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). CT morphological manifestations of peripheral location and pleural indentation sign were associated with EGFR-T790M. For NECT, CECT, and NECT+CECT radiomic features, the feature selector and classifier algorithms of LASSO and Stepwise logistic regression, Boruta and SVM, and LASSO and SVM were chosen to develop the optimal model, respectively (AUC: 0.844, 0.811, and 0.897). All models performed well in calibration curves and DCA. Independent validation of models in Cohort-2 revealed that both NECT and CECT models individually had limited power for predicting EGFR-T790M mutation detected by ctDNA (AUC: 0.649, 0.675), while the NECT+CECT radiomic model had a satisfactory AUC (0.760). This study proved the feasibility of using CT radiomic features to predict the EGFR-T790M resistance mutation, which could be helpful in guiding personalized therapeutic strategies.