Crustal response to water loads and expansion of triggered seismicity around the Xiluodu Reservoir, Southwest China

Abstract

<p>The transition to low-carbon energy generation requires a diverse portfolio of energy sources. Large hydropower stations play a crucial role in providing eco-friendly energy but can lead to crustal deformation and seismic activity due to reservoir impoundment and discharge. The mechanism behind how impoundment-induced deformation influences reservoir-triggered seismicity remains unclear. We investigate this at the world��s 4<sup>th</sup> largest hydropower station in Xiluodu, China, using interdisciplinary analyses of relocated earthquakes, geodetic data, and numerical simulations. Geodetic observations confirm both a linear elastic response to hydrologic loading and the transition towards a relaxed and flexural response. Notably, approximately 81% of the earthquakes since impoundment occurred within ~15 km of the subsidence center. These events temporally relate to rapid hydrologic loading/unloading periods, with their spatiotemporal outward migration potentially caused by viscous relaxation of load stresses in the lower crust and upper mantle. The reservoir-induced flexural deformation and subsequent viscous relaxation may control the distribution and expansion of triggered seismicity. This research highlights the urgent need to enhance geohazard monitoring efforts around the subsidence center and emphasizes the vital importance of carefully considering this factor during the construction of large reservoirs to mitigate potential seismic risks.</p>