Crossroads of Antimicrobial and Diagnostic Stewardship: Assessing Risks to Develop Clinical Decision Support to Combat Multidrug-Resistant Pseudomonas.

Abstract

Early detection of multidrug-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (MDRP) remains challenging. Existing risk prediction tools are difficult to translate to bedside application. The goal of this study was to develop a simple electronic medical record (EMR)-integrated tool for prediction of MDRP infection. This was a mixed-methods study. We conducted a split-sample cohort study of adult critical care patients with P aeruginosa infections. Two previously published tools were validated using c-statistic. A subset of variables based on strength of association and ease of EMR extraction was selected for further evaluation. A simplified tool was developed using multivariable logistic regression. Both c-statistic and theoretical trade-off of over- versus underprescribing of broad-spectrum MDRP therapy were assessed in the validation cohort. A qualitative survey of frontline clinicians assessed understanding of risks for MDRP and potential usability of an EMR-integrated tool to predict MDRP. The 2 previous risk prediction tools demonstrated similar accuracy in the derivation cohort (c-statistic of 0.76 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .69-.83] and 0.73 [95% CI, .66-.8]). A simplified tool based on 4 variables demonstrated reasonable accuracy (c-statistic of 0.71 [95% CI, .57-.85]) without significant overprescribing in the validation cohort. The risk factors were prior MDRP infection, ≥4 antibiotics prior to culture, infection >3 days after admission, and dialysis. Fourteen clinicians completed the survey. An alert providing context regarding individual patient risk factors for MDRP was preferred. These results can be used to develop a local EMR-integrated tool to improve timeliness of effective therapy in those at risk of MDRP infections.