Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a new method for packet transmission delay analysis and prediction in mobile ad hoc networks. We apply a fuzzy logic system (FLS) to coordinate physical layer and data link layer. We demonstrate that type-2 fuzzy membership function (MF), i.e., the Gaussian MFs with uncertain variance is most appropriate to model BER and MAC layer service time. Two FLSs and one neural network: a singleton type-1 FLS, an interval type-2 FLS and back-prop neural network (NN) are designed to predict the packet transmission delay based on the BER and MAC layer service time. Simulation results show that the interval type-2 FLS performs much better than the type-1 FLS in transmission delay prediction. And FLSs performs better than back-prop NN. We use the forecasted transmission delay to adjust the transmission power, and it shows that the interval type-2 FLS performs much better than a type-1 FLS, and FLSs are performs better than back-prop NN in terms of energy consumption, average delay and throughput. Besides, we obtain the performance bound based on the actual transmission delay.

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