Crop monitoring and biomass estimation based on downscaled remote sensing data in AquaCrop model (case study: Qazvin Plain, Iran).

Abstract

Ensuring food security requires monitoring crop growth conditions prior to harvesting. This research encompass three stages: remote sensing, crop modeling, and establishing a connection between the two. Besides, Fusion satellite images have been implemented to monitor and investigate fodder corn in three study areas. In the remote sensing stage, after implementing the downscaling algorithm and producing the leaf area index (LAI) time series, the results were compared with the estimated values from Landsat 8 and MODIS images, which were associated with overestimation in all cases. Furthermore, the results exhibited statistically significance with R2 > 95% and P-value < 0.05. The AquaCrop model was first calibrated and implemented in the crop modeling section at each growth stage based on the observational data measured in each field. The accuracy of the simulated model was checked according to the results of statistical indicators with high accuracy (NRMSE = 10% and RMSE = 0.03 (Ton/ha)) at significant level (95%) and was associated with underestimation. Using the SVM decision support algorithm, the relationship between downscaled LAI and calibrated CC (crop canopy) was estimated. This relationship was generated with 70% of the data and subsequently validated using the remaining 30% (R2 = 0.99, NRMSE = 0.01). On this basis, CC values were predicted. Finally, biomass values were compared with observed biomass values. According to the results of statistical indicators (RMSE = 0.19 (Ton/ha), NRMSE = 0.01, R2 = 0.96, P-value < 0.05), biomass estimation was highly accurate. These results demonstrate the reliability and accuracy of the model and the proposed method for simulating and estimating biomass before harvesting.