Abstract

We assess the probable redshift (z{sub rei} Almost-Equal-To 7) for full reionization of the intergalactic medium (IGM) using a prescription for the comoving star formation rate (SFR) density ({rho}-dot{sub SFR}) required to maintain photoionization against recombination. Our newly developed online reionization simulator allows users to assess the required SFR and ionization histories, using a variety of assumptions for galactic and stellar populations, IGM clumping factor and temperature, and Lyman continuum (LyC) escape fraction. The decline in high-redshift galaxy candidates and Ly{alpha} emitters at z = 6-8 suggests a rising neutral fraction, with reionization at z {approx}> 7 increasingly difficult owing to increased recombination rates and constraints from the ionizing background and LyC mean free path. The required rate is {rho}-dot{sub SFR}{approx}(.018 M{sub sun}yr{sup -1}Mpc{sup -3})[(1+z)/8]{sup 3}(C{sub H}/3)(0.2/f{sub esc})T{sub 4}{sup -0.845} scaled to fiducial values of clumping factor C{sub H} = 3, escape fraction f{sub esc} = 0.2, electron temperature T{sub e} = 10{sup 4} K, and low-metallicity initial mass functions (IMFs) and stellar atmospheres. Our hydrodynamical + N-body simulations find a mean clumping factor C{sub H} Almost-Equal-To (2.9)[(1 + z)/6]{sup -1.1} in the photoionized, photoheated filaments at z = 5-9. The critical SFR could be reduced by increasing the minimummore » stellar mass, invoking a top-heavy IMF, or systematically increasing f{sub esc} at high z. The cosmic microwave background optical depth, {tau}{sub e} = 0.088 {+-} 0.015, could be explained by full reionization, producing {tau}{sub e} = 0.050 back to z{sub rei} Almost-Equal-To 7, augmented by {Delta}{tau}{sub e} Almost-Equal-To 0.01-0.04 in a partially ionized IGM at z > 7. In this scenario, the strongest 21 cm signal should occur at redshifted frequencies 124-167 MHz owing to IGM heating over an interval {Delta}z Almost-Equal-To 3 in the range z Almost-Equal-To 7.5-10.5.« less

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