Abstract
Significance Absent a coherent domestic opposition and international response, the crisis situation in Venezuela is becoming ‘normalised’ following President Nicolas Maduro’s May re-election. The PSUV congress may see some modest policy shifts to accommodate the deepening disaffection of the political left, but the trend is one of consolidation around Maduro’s ever-narrowing clique of military and partisan support. Impacts US ‘moral leadership’ on Venezuela will continue to ebb amid other US foreign policy distractions and ‘zero tolerance’ border policy. The merging of humanitarian assistance with political programmes risks discrediting humanitarian groups assisting Venezuelan migrants. Political change in Colombia and Mexico does not suggest improved capacity in Latin America to negotiate a peaceful solution.
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