Creation of a Spatiotemporal Algorithm and Application to COVID-19 Data

Abstract

This study offers an in-depth analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic’s trajectory in several member countries of the European Union (EU) in order to assess similarities in their crisis experiences. We also examine data from the United States to facilitate a larger comparison across continents. We introduce our new approach, which uses a spatiotemporal algorithm to identify five distinct and recurring phases that each country underwent at different times during the COVID-19 pandemic. These stages include: Comfort Period, characterized by minimal COVID-19 activity and limited impacts; Preventive Situation, demonstrating the implementation of proactive measures, with relatively low numbers of cases, deaths, and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions; Worrying Situation, is defined by high levels of concern and preparation as deaths and cases begin to rise and reach substantial levels; Panic Situation, marked by a high number of deaths relative to the number of cases and a rise in ICU admissions, denoting a critical and alarming period of the pandemic; and finally, Epidemic Control Situation, distinguished by limited numbers of COVID-19 deaths despite a high number of new cases. By examining these phases, we identify the various waves of the pandemic, indicating periods where the health crisis had a significant impact. This comparative analysis highlights the time lags between countries as they transitioned through these different critical stages and navigated the waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.