Abstract

As of April 12, 2020, a total of 389 cases of coronavirus disease were confirmed in Jordan. To control this imminent threat, Jordan has enforced public health infection prevention and control measures, called for social distancing, seized all forms of inbound and outbound movement and international travel, and enacted the Defence Law that transferred the authority to the Minister of Defence to work and formulate orders according to the situation. In an effort to support the government in anticipating the requirements of the health system in the upcoming period, an in-depth reflection and examination of different scenarios of the disease spread were developed. This viewpoint suggests different strategies and measures for case detection and contact tracing, clinical management of cases, public health system functioning, and civil society organizations’ contribution. It is necessary to accelerate containment of the disease to protect the economy and to maintain the continuity of some activities to mitigate the subsequent social, economic, and financial impacts. This requires finding a coping mechanism for a period that may be prolonged until laboratories develop a vaccine. Specifically, it is strongly recommended to promote community health awareness toward public health prevention and control measures, increase the efficiency and comprehensiveness of the epidemiological investigation and active and passive surveillance, and employ technology and digital health solutions to track cases and contacts. It is also recommended to increase and expand resources of intensive care units including respirators, increase the capacity and the number of trained health staff in the area of public health and epidemiology, ensure continued provision of essential public health programs, and mobilize the resources of nongovernmental sectors and donors to provide services for refugees and vulnerable populations.

Highlights

  • As of April 13, 2020, more than 1.85 million people are confirmed to have coronavirus disease (COVID-19)

  • According to the World Health Organization (WHO) Situation Report 83 released on April 12, 2020, Jordan was classified with a “cluster of cases” transmission for the virus [3]

  • As of March 17, 2020, the government called for social distancing, seized all forms of inbound and outbound movement or international travel, and enacted the Defence Law that transferred the authority to the Minister of Defence to work and formulate orders according to the situation [4]

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Summary

Introduction

As of April 13, 2020, more than 1.85 million people are confirmed to have coronavirus disease (COVID-19). People were made more aware of the need for social distancing and the importance of personal protection measures. The following exponential growth function (equation 1) was used to predict the number of cases at any given time. Average (good) scenario (strict social distancing and inadequate personal protection measure): we used a growth factor that is decreasing gradually. Optimistic (best) scenario (strict social distancing and adequate personal protection measures): we used a growth factor that is decreasing gradually but at a higher rate compared to the good scenario. Pessimistic (bad) scenario (loose social distancing and inadequate personal protection measures): we used the growth factor 1.074 based on the number of reported cases

Case Detection and Contact Tracing
Clinical Management of Cases
Public Health System Functioning
Findings
Civil Society Organizations Contributions
Full Text
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