Abstract

Diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) relies on clinical features and reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction testing, but the sensitivity is limited. Carotid CTA is a routine acute stroke investigation and includes the lung apices. We evaluated CTA as a potential COVID-19 diagnostic imaging biomarker. This was a multicenter, retrospective study (n = 225) including CTAs of patients with suspected acute stroke from 3 hyperacute stroke units (March-April 2020). We evaluated the reliability and accuracy of candidate diagnostic imaging biomarkers. Demographics, clinical features, and risk factors for COVID-19 and stroke were analyzed using univariate and multivariate statistics. Apical ground-glass opacification was present in 22.2% (50/225) of patients. Ground-glass opacification had high interrater reliability (Fleiss κ = 0.81; 95% CI, 0.68-0.95) and, compared with reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction, had good diagnostic performance (sensitivity, 75% [95% CI, 56-87]; specificity, 81% [95% CI, 71-88]; OR = 11.65 [95% CI, 4.14-32.78]; P < .001) on multivariate analysis. In contrast, all other contemporaneous demographic, clinical, and imaging features available at CTA were not diagnostic for COVID-19. The presence of apical ground-glass opacification was an independent predictor of increased 30-day mortality (18.0% versus 5.7%, P = .017; hazard ratio = 3.51; 95% CI, 1.42-8.66; P = .006). We identified a simple, reliable, and accurate COVID-19 diagnostic and prognostic imaging biomarker obtained from CTA lung apices: the presence or absence of ground-glass opacification. Our findings have important implications in the management of patients presenting with suspected stroke through early identification of COVID-19 and the subsequent limitation of disease transmission.

Highlights

  • BACKGROUND AND PURPOSEDiagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) relies on clinical features and reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction testing, but the sensitivity is limited

  • Our findings have important implications in the management of patients presenting with suspected stroke through early identification of COVID-19 and the subsequent limitation of disease transmission

  • To find diagnostic imaging biomarkers for COVID-19 that would be easy to apply by radiologists who are not specialized in chest radiology, we evaluated the presence of GGO and any other pulmonary finding within the lung apices on CTA

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Summary

Methods

This was a multicenter, retrospective study (n 1⁄4 225) including CTAs of patients with suspected acute stroke from 3 hyperacute stroke units (March-April 2020). Demographics, clinical features, and risk factors for COVID-19 and stroke were analyzed using univariate and multivariate statistics. The National Health Research Authority and Research Ethics Committee approved this study. Adult patients (18 years of age or older) undergoing a CT of the head and CTA for acute stroke investigations at 3 hyperacute stroke units, King’s College Hospital, Princess Royal University Hospital, and University College London Hospitals from March 25, 2020, to April 24, 2020 (corresponding to the time and location of the United Kingdom COVID-19 epicenter). A control group of the same number of patients undergoing acute-stroke investigations during the same period in 2019 was reviewed

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