Abstract

The coverage rate of the original data by the prediction interval in simple linear regression is obtained by computer simulation. The results show that for small sample size, the coverage rate is higher than the assigned prediction coverage rate (confidence level). The two coverage rates begin to converge when the sample size is larger than 50 and the convergence rate depends very little on the distribution of the independent variable. Also, theoretical results on the asymptotic coverage rate and on the absolute minimum bounds are obtained

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