Abstract

ObjectiveTo estimate the long-term cost-effectiveness of dapagliflozin versus acarbose as monotherapy in treatment-naïve patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in China.MethodsThe Cardiff Diabetes Model, an economic model designed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of comparator therapies in diabetes was used to simulate disease progression and estimate the long-term effect of treatments on patients. Systematic literature reviews, hospital surveys, meta-analysis and indirect treatment comparison were conducted to obtain model-required patient profiles, clinical data and costs. Health insurance costs (2015¥) were estimated over 40 years from a healthcare payer perspective. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed.ResultsThe model predicted that dapagliflozin had lower incidences of cardiovascular events, hypoglycemia and mortality events, was associated with a mean incremental benefit of 0.25 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and with a lower cost of ¥8,439 compared with acarbose. This resulted in a cost saving of ¥33,786 per QALY gained with dapagliflozin. Sensitivity analyses determined that the results are robust.ConclusionDapagliflozin is dominant compared with acarbose as monotherapy for Chinese T2DM patients, with a little QALY gain and lower costs. Dapagliflozin offers a well-tolerated and cost-effective alternative medication for treatment-naive patients in China, and may have a direct impact in reducing the disease burden of T2DM.

Highlights

  • Diabetes as one of the most threatening noncommunicable diseases, imposes great health challenges and heavy disease burden on patients and healthcare systems [1]

  • Dapagliflozin is dominant compared with acarbose as monotherapy for Chinese type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients, with a little quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gain and lower costs

  • The disease burden of diabetes is escalating in China, the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) reports that diabetes prevalence in people aged 20–79 years is at 10.6% in 2015 with China having the highest number of diabetics (109.6 million) worldwide [2]

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Summary

Introduction

Diabetes as one of the most threatening noncommunicable diseases, imposes great health challenges and heavy disease burden on patients and healthcare systems [1]. The disease burden of diabetes is escalating in China, the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) reports that diabetes prevalence in people aged 20–79 years is at 10.6% in 2015 with China having the highest number of diabetics (109.6 million) worldwide [2]. Glycaemic control remains elusive for the majority of Chinese diabetics. 25.8% of patients receive diabetes-related treatments; and only 39.7% of those treated have adequate glycaemic control [3]. Diabetes-related health expenditure in China is high (51 billion US dollars) in 2015, ranked second worldwide [2]

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