Abstract
7561 Background: Two anti-CD19 chimeric antigen receptor T-cell therapies are approved for large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL): axicabtagene ciloleucel (axi-cel) and tisagenlecleucel. Each costs $373,000 (wholesale acquisition). We evaluated each therapy’s cost-effectiveness. Methods: A decision analytic Markov model evaluated axi-cel and tisagenlecleucel in multiply relapsed/refractory adult DLBCL from a US health-payer perspective over a lifetime horizon. The model was informed by recent multi-center, single-arm clinical trials. Under a range of plausible long-term effectiveness assumptions, axi-cel and tisagenlecleucel were each compared with salvage chemoimmunotherapy regimens and stem-cell transplantation. Main outcomes were un-discounted life-years, discounted lifetime costs, discounted quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (3% discount rate). Sensitivity analyses explored uncertainty. Results: In an optimistic scenario, assuming 40% five-year progression-free survival (PFS), axi-cel increased life-expectancy by 8.15 years at $129,000/QALY (95% UI: $90,000-215,000/QALY) gained. At 30% five-year PFS, improvements in life-expectancy were more modest (6.4 years) and expensive ($159,000/QALY [$107,000-281,000/QALY] gained). In an optimistic scenario, assuming 35% five-year PFS, tisagenlecleucel increased life-expectancy by 4.6 years at $168,000/QALY ($104,000-453,000/QALY) gained. At 25% five-year PFS, improvements in life-expectancies were more modest (3.4 years) and expensive ($224,000/QALY [$124,000-1,190,000/QALY] gained). Administering CAR-T to all indicated patients would increase US healthcare costs by $10 billion over 5 years. Price reductions to $250,000 or payment only for initial CR or 90-day CR/PR (at current prices) would allow both therapies to cost < $150,000/QALY down to 25% PFS. Conclusions: At current prices, it is possible that each CAR-T therapy may meet a < $150,000/QALY threshold; this is dependent on long-term benefit compared with chemoimmunotherapy and SCT, which is uncertain. Widespread adoption would increase non-Hodgkin lymphoma healthcare costs substantially. Price reductions or payment for initial CR or 90-day CR/PR would favorably influence cost-effectiveness even if long-term outcomes are modest.
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