Cost-effectiveness analysis of sugemalimab vs. placebo, in combination with chemotherapy, for treatment of first-line metastatic NSCLC in China.

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of sugemalimab plus chemotherapy (SC) vs. placebo plus chemotherapy (PC), as the first-line treatment for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in China. A three-state Markov model with a cycle of 3 weeks was built to assess the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of SC vs. PC as first-line treatment for patients with NSCLC over a 10-year horizon from Chinese health care perspective. Time-dependency transition probability and safety data were derived from a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, phase 3 clinical trial performed in China (GEMSTONE-302). Primary model outcomes included the costs in US dollars and health outcomes in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the ICER under a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $37,663/QALYs. Deterministic, scenario and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were employed to investigate the robustness of model outcomes. In base-case analysis, compared with PC, first-line SC for intention-to-treat (ITT) population gained an additional 0.57 QALYs with an incremental cost of $62,404.15, resulting in an ICER of $109,480.97/QALYs gained. When a patient assistance program (PAP) was available, the ICER decreased to $52,327.02/QALYs. In subgroup analysis, the ICER values were above the WTP threshold with or without PAP. Sensitivity analysis results suggested that the model outcomes were reliable. From the perspective of Chinese healthcare system, the SC was not cost-effective in comparison to PC as first-line treatment for NSCLC, regardless of PD-L1 tumor expression level and pathological subtype.